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I guess I'm having a hard time thinking of reasons why absolute value is more important than rate, especially in this scenario, when we're measuring the impact
by danso 7y ago
I guess I'm having a hard time thinking of reasons why absolute value is more important than rate, especially in this scenario, when we're measuring the impact of an infectious disease that spreads person-to-person. I suppose in the hypothetical situation, where there are 10,000 cases in Wyoming and 10,000 cases in New Jersey. A choropleth map by rate would shade Wyoming 15-18 times darker than New Jersey. And this would obfuscate the likely reality that 10,000 cases in New Jersey is imminently a far bigger story – because N.J. is not only 15-18 times more populous, but ~25 times more dense. (The fact that Wyoming is ~15x bigger by land mass would make the issue worse, in terms of visual distraction)
But I'm not sure how shading this by absolute totals – in which case, Wyoming and N.J. would be the same shade – would provide significantly more value? Sure, N.J.'s situation wouldn't be effectively invisible in the totals map, compared to the rates map. But now we have to imagine a scenario in which a person-to-person virus managed to sicken so many people (proportionally speaking) in such a large rural state compared to an extremely urban state. It's very hard to imagine a scenario in which we don't want to focus attention on Wyoming. For 10,000 Wyoming people to be infected – and only 10,000 affected in New Jersey – would almost certainly mean that the infection's original epicenter is Wyoming, and that someone from Wyoming had direct contact via travel with a New Jersey resident, (especially if Wyoming and N.J. are outliers in terms of absolute totals by state).
- platz 7y agoI'm not saying absolute is necessarily better than rate. I'm saying that it's a choice that highlights different information. there is no objective right answer, and it's about intent of the communicator. in this case, rate may very well be what the intent needs to be.