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Well just about none of them are substantiated with any data. You can say things like “people in the US will avoid going to the hospital because of the bill” an

Well just about none of them are substantiated with any data. You can say things like “people in the US will avoid going to the hospital because of the bill” and it sounds right because of our perception of the US health system, but is it really? Do we have actual numbers showing this is actually the case, and if so, how extensive it will be? And do we have reason to believe those numbers will hold in this exceptional circumstance? Yes, when people believe they might have the flu, they could potentially try and wait out going to the doctor. But do we believe that in an environment where we have people so acutely aware of the coronavirus outbreak that they are buying out supplies of masks, posting long twitter screeds on potential doomsday scenarios, and side-eyeing every Asian-American with a cough, that when they start to show symptoms they still are going to get hung up on the cost of a clinic visit? The same goes for many of the other assertions, such as parents forcing their children to go school sick. Or the extremely thin premise of elderly people dying because of a huge number of parents sticking them with their sick children while they work. In fact, what data we do have seems to suggest that children barely get sick from this thing at all, or their sickness is so mild it doesn’t get diagnosed. A recent paper in JAMA found that of the first 44,672 cases confirmed in China, only 416 were in children younger than 10. In fact, only 10% were in people younger than 30.[0] It seems ridiculous to entertain scenarios where elderly people all die off because overworked parents foist their parental duties onto them. It’s also worth stating that a lot of these concerns are not unique to the US. Many of them also apply to other countries like China and Japan, which are already in the midst of their outbreak. Yes, author is only comparing the US and Europe, but that seems like a useless comparison given that the number of infections in both regions is so small and contained right now. And finally, the author fails to account for reasons why the US might be better off than Europe. As is often pointed out on this site, usually in a negative context, the US is far less dense than Europe. Fewer people are living in tightly packed urban communities, and more live in suburban and rural areas. Far fewer rely on public transportation. That means far fewer opportunities to come across someone contagious. And the US has some measure of protection in its borders. Except for Canada and Mexico, we can only be accessed via plane or boat. Most of the EU has open borders, meaning that it will only be that much more difficult to coordinate quarantines and control measures. [0] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130?guestAccessKey=bdcca6fa-a48c-4028-8406-7f3d04a3e932&utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_content=tfl&utm_term=022420 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130?gu...

mercer 7y ago
> Well just about none of them are substantiated with any data. You can say things like “people in the US will avoid going to the hospital because of the bill” and it sounds right because of our perception of the US health system, but is it really? Do we have actual numbers showing this is actually the case, and if so, how extensive it will be? And do we have reason to believe those numbers will hold in this exceptional circumstance? Yes, when people believe they might have the flu, they could potentially try and wait out going to the doctor. But do we believe that in an environment where we have people so acutely aware of the coronavirus outbreak that they are buying out supplies of masks, posting long twitter screeds on potential doomsday scenarios, and side-eyeing every Asian-American with a cough, that when they start to show symptoms they still are going to get hung up on the cost of a clinic visit? How dense do you have to be to assume that the default answer to pretty much all these questions is "no" or [citation needed]? It's like asking for data to prove the world is round. Sure, in isolation that's a fair enough question, but practically speaking it's idiotic. Lots of people over here would not go to a doctor when they have flu symptoms, even if it's free to do so because we're not retarded, collectively. But if it can cost money it's obvious we'd be even less likely to do so, society and 'Asians' and spread of corona-virus be damned. The common reaction to something uncommon is, well, common. I'd say it's upon the 'commoners' to provide data that this thing that experts say is worrisome is, in fact, not.

mercer 7y ago

> Well just about none of them are substantiated with any data. You can say things like “people in the US will avoid going to the hospital because of the bill” and it sounds right because of our perception of the US health system, but is it really? Do we have actual numbers showing this is actually the case, and if so, how extensive it will be? And do we have reason to believe those numbers will hold in this exceptional circumstance? Yes, when people believe they might have the flu, they could potentially try and wait out going to the doctor. But do we believe that in an environment where we have people so acutely aware of the coronavirus outbreak that they are buying out supplies of masks, posting long twitter screeds on potential doomsday scenarios, and side-eyeing every Asian-American with a cough, that when they start to show symptoms they still are going to get hung up on the cost of a clinic visit? How dense do you have to be to assume that the default answer to pretty much all these questions is "no" or [citation needed]? It's like asking for data to prove the world is round. Sure, in isolation that's a fair enough question, but practically speaking it's idiotic. Lots of people over here would not go to a doctor when they have flu symptoms, even if it's free to do so because we're not retarded, collectively. But if it can cost money it's obvious we'd be even less likely to do so, society and 'Asians' and spread of corona-virus be damned. The common reaction to something uncommon is, well, common. I'd say it's upon the 'commoners' to provide data that this thing that experts say is worrisome is, in fact, not.