2 ms·
A 15% critical rate is very plausible. A widely shared report [1] on Chinese media described how an entire family died to virus. A man, his sister, mother, and
by tristanj 7y ago
A 15% critical rate is very plausible. A widely shared report [1] on Chinese media described how an entire family died to virus. A man, his sister, mother, and father all died to the coronavirus. His wife is in serious condition.
Using the reported death rates posted above, the odds of this happening are
1.3% * 1.3% * 8% * 8% = 1/924556. That's nearly 1 in a million. I concede that the medical system in Wuhan was overwhelmed, and these 5 patients did not have access to medical care.
[1] https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-02-17/four-deaths-in-one-family-show-danger-of-wuhans-home-quarantine-policy-101516690.html https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-02-17/four-deaths-in-one-f...
- username90 7y agoNo it is not, Diamond Princess is the only controlled environment we have and it didn't have even close to 15% critical rate.
- jsight 7y agoExactly... also see this report: https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1232797151941611520 https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1232797151941611520 The situation is horrible, but look at the hospital workers rate of infection vs mortality. Even horrible things can still be made to look more horrible.