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I'm saying that most everyone caught swine flu and many were working through it. With something more deadly that won't be tolerated, besides pneumonia seems to
by HarryHirsch 7y ago
I'm saying that most everyone caught swine flu and many were working through it. With something more deadly that won't be tolerated, besides pneumonia seems to be a complication in 20 % of the cases and recovery is often slow.
- elhudy 7y agoThat makes sense. We aren't currently sure what the death rate is though. It's extremely unlikely that all cases are being reported in China, which reduces the denominator and falsely inflates the rate. If you take Italy as example rather than China, there are 400+ cases reported, likely more existing unreported, but only 12 deaths. That's a .03% rate conservatively which is about the same as the flu (.05%), if we assume (darkly) that a few more people will die.
- elhudy 7y agoI don't know how to downvote myself or edit my comment but you're right - in revisiting this after my coffee my math was way off! Crossing our fingers than many cases are asymptomatic enough that they aren't being counted towards this "confirmed cases" total.