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>The coronavirus is going to be orders of magnitude worse, and the current informal arrangements in the US will be overwhelmed. Are you suggesting that more de
by elhudy 7y ago
>The coronavirus is going to be orders of magnitude worse, and the current informal arrangements in the US will be overwhelmed.
Are you suggesting that more deadly diseases are more likely to spread among the population per capita? I had thought we were discussing whether the lack of mandated sick days enabled higher spread of infectious diseases.
- HarryHirsch 7y agoI'm saying that most everyone caught swine flu and many were working through it. With something more deadly that won't be tolerated, besides pneumonia seems to be a complication in 20 % of the cases and recovery is often slow.
- elhudy 7y agoThat makes sense. We aren't currently sure what the death rate is though. It's extremely unlikely that all cases are being reported in China, which reduces the denominator and falsely inflates the rate. If you take Italy as example rather than China, there are 400+ cases reported, likely more existing unreported, but only 12 deaths. That's a .03% rate conservatively which is about the same as the flu (.05%), if we assume (darkly) that a few more people will die.
- elhudy 7y agoI don't know how to downvote myself or edit my comment but you're right - in revisiting this after my coffee my math was way off! Crossing our fingers than many cases are asymptomatic enough that they aren't being counted towards this "confirmed cases" total.