3 ms·
7 times a minuscule number may still be a minuscule number. A 30yo male has a 0.18% probability to die that year. It's a small enough number that it is irratio
by cm2187 7y ago
7 times a minuscule number may still be a minuscule number.
A 30yo male has a 0.18% probability to die that year. It's a small enough number that it is irrational to worry about it [1].
[1] https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
- scarmig 7y agoWould you say a 61yo male is significantly more likely to die than a 30yo male? Because that's the age where the actuarial table is 7x worse for a man than at 30. A couple hundred thousand dead here, another hundred thousand dead there, and soon we're talking about big numbers.
- jakeinspace 7y agoBut a .2% mortality rate from COVID-19 means that if you're in your 20s and catch it, your odds of dying this year will have more than doubled! You think that's not worth worrying about? On a global scale that is millions of potential deaths beyond the prior statistical expectation.