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Containing it? It's hopeless. Just cancel earlier so the economic loss can be contained.

FooHentai 7y ago
Containment is still desirable even in a scenario where this has spread to all countries and on-track to become endemic. Why? Because it buys time. If a vaccine can be developed, which is likely but certain to take some months, then you can inoculate the populace and end up in a situation where it's endemic-but-managed. If you don't contain, however, then you assuredly burn through whatever portion of your populace will succumb to this thing, all but ensuring your nation's health service becomes overwhelmed, and as a bonus you stoke mutation due to a greater number of hosts. Fatalism is not useful here and should not be encouraged under any circumstances. Containment efforts are never in vain.
- WalterBright 7y ago
  > which is likely but certain to take some months The news today reported 12 to 18 months for mass availability of a vaccine.
  - n0rbwah 7y ago
    There was an article about an experimental way of creating new vaccines that could potentially get it out faster. https://www.wsj.com/articles/drugmaker-moderna-delivers-first-coronavirus-vaccine-for-human-testing-11582579099 https://www.wsj.com/articles/drugmaker-moderna-delivers-firs...
- tinza123 7y ago
  Not just development of the vaccine, you will need to perform sufficient clinic testing, get it approved by FDA or equivalent in other countries, and most difficult, get it mass produced. In addition, treatment would be a entirely different story. I agree it should be contained, I just don't see it can be contained to an extent where the Olympic Games can still proceed as planned.
PopePompus 7y ago
It would be a crushing blow to the athletes, who get just a few chances to do this in their lives. If it looks like holding normal games would be a health disaster, perhaps they should hold the games, but without spectators. Everyone can watch it via TV or streaming.
- londons_explore 7y ago
  I believe TV licensing fees generate far more revenue than the direct ticket sales anyway. I bet in some sports, ticket sales barely cover the costs of building the seating and stadium. If you didn't have a local public, most events could just be held in a field.

Containment is still desirable even in a scenario where this has spread to all countries and on-track to become endemic. Why? Because it buys time. If a vaccine can be developed, which is likely but certain to take some months, then you can inoculate the populace and end up in a situation where it's endemic-but-managed. If you don't contain, however, then you assuredly burn through whatever portion of your populace will succumb to this thing, all but ensuring your nation's health service becomes overwhelmed, and as a bonus you stoke mutation due to a greater number of hosts. Fatalism is not useful here and should not be encouraged under any circumstances. Containment efforts are never in vain.

WalterBright 7y ago
> which is likely but certain to take some months The news today reported 12 to 18 months for mass availability of a vaccine.
- n0rbwah 7y ago
  There was an article about an experimental way of creating new vaccines that could potentially get it out faster. https://www.wsj.com/articles/drugmaker-moderna-delivers-first-coronavirus-vaccine-for-human-testing-11582579099 https://www.wsj.com/articles/drugmaker-moderna-delivers-firs...
tinza123 7y ago
Not just development of the vaccine, you will need to perform sufficient clinic testing, get it approved by FDA or equivalent in other countries, and most difficult, get it mass produced. In addition, treatment would be a entirely different story. I agree it should be contained, I just don't see it can be contained to an extent where the Olympic Games can still proceed as planned.

PopePompus 7y ago

It would be a crushing blow to the athletes, who get just a few chances to do this in their lives. If it looks like holding normal games would be a health disaster, perhaps they should hold the games, but without spectators. Everyone can watch it via TV or streaming.

londons_explore 7y ago
I believe TV licensing fees generate far more revenue than the direct ticket sales anyway. I bet in some sports, ticket sales barely cover the costs of building the seating and stadium. If you didn't have a local public, most events could just be held in a field.