3 ms·
It's just 2^24 for probability 1/2, right?
by LeifCarrotson 7y ago
It's just 2^24 for probability 1/2, right?
- aplummer 7y agoIt’s a different calculation Matt is doing. You are calculating the probability of that run happening now. Matt is calculating the expected length of the longest run in 1 million tosses.
- mattkrause 7y agoExactly! (Thanks!) The distinction is important because a sequence of ten heads seems 'rare' in isolation. However, it is not particularly unusual when you go looking for it as a subsequence of some bigger set of trials.