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No, this isn’t likely at all. The reason they are undercounting cases is because the cases not being counted are mild. If some of those mild cases go on to die,
by irq11 7y ago
No, this isn’t likely at all. The reason they are undercounting cases is because the cases not being counted are mild. If some of those mild cases go on to die, it’s pretty unlikely that it’s due to misdiagnosed severe atypical pneumonia.
Absolutely no reputable sources have advanced this theory, just people who are scaring each other on HN and reddit.
To summarize: undercounting mild cases is definitely happening. Undercounting of covid deaths is extremely unlikely to be happening. Therefore, we know that the current death rates are overestimates of the real values.
These are facts.
- pmoriarty 7y agoYou are stating your own probability estimates. Those aren't facts except to the extent that it may be a fact that you do believe them. Otherwise probability estimates and guesses about what China is or isn't doing and why aren't facts... they're just that: guesses. Thanks for sharing them, though. It's always nice to hear the reasons for another person's opinion.