But that's only if you believe that the number of measured cases are the number of actual cases. They would need to randomly sample the population for that to b

But that's only if you believe that the number of measured cases are the number of actual cases. They would need to randomly sample the population for that to be true. My guess is that most people just get a small cold from this virus -- and some have a big reaction. So we really don't know the death rate.