3 ms·
> another commenter suggested 20% require respiratory assistance, but is that of flat infected or of those that are detected as infected in part BECAUSE their s
by Filligree 7y ago
> another commenter suggested 20% require respiratory assistance, but is that of flat infected or of those that are detected as infected in part BECAUSE their symptoms are serious?
The latter. Unfortunately we don't know what fraction of cases are detected, but it's believed to be around 10%.
- jacquesm 7y agoInteresting in this context is to look at the postmortem of the previous pandemic in 2009, the number of cases initially confirmed and the final tally over the same period once all the facts were in. The relevant wikipedia bit: "A flu follow-up study done in September 2010, found that "the risk of most serious complications was not elevated in adults or children."[31] In a 5 August 2011 PLoS ONE article, researchers estimated that the 2009 H1N1 global infection rate was 11% to 21%, lower than what was previously expected.[32] However, by 2012, research showed that as many as 579,000 people could have been killed by the disease, as only those fatalities confirmed by laboratory testing were included in the original number, and meant that many of those without access to health facilities went uncounted. The majority of these deaths occurred in Africa and Southeast Asia. Experts, including the WHO, have agreed that an estimated 284,500 people were killed by the disease, much higher than the initial death toll." From: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic