2 ms·

That is at least 12-18 months away

• bluGill 7y ago
  That is why I used works like "hope" and "big if". If everything goes perfect it can happen. It only needs one of the early attempts to turn out to work, do great in early testing and be easy to manufacture. Easy to manufacture depends on scale - if the virus turns out to be spreading fast it will be easier to manufacture because a lot of resources will be put into building the ability to make whatever turns out to work. Safety becomes less important in the worst cases too. If you have a 1% chance of going blind from the vaccine, or a 20% chance of death, a vaccine that would normally fail tests looks good. (20% chance of death of course means the virus mutates to both spread faster and kill more people - generally unlikely)