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I have the feeling that, unlike in 2001 and 2008, we haven't had a recession in a while so there wasn't a filtering process for unprofitable startups. Due to t
by rossdavidh 7y ago
I have the feeling that, unlike in 2001 and 2008, we haven't had a recession in a while so there wasn't a filtering process for unprofitable startups. Due to the quantity of $$ looking for an investment target, the unprofitable ideas kept getting investment $$ far longer than would normally be the case. But, eventually, it becomes apparent that some of these ideas aren't going to ever be profitable, because not every problem is solved by growth.
So, really, it's just as well to have a shakeout of unprofitable ideas now, rather than accumulate ever-more bogus ideas sucking up resources. The only unusual thing is that it's been so long since the last recession that this shakeout is happening without one.
Of course, we could have one soon, but I've been thinking that for a while now, so who knows.
- Fordec 7y agoI foresee a post-crash wave. Yes there will be a shakeout of unprofitable ideas. But "VC unprofitable" is not directly comparable to real world unprofitable. Growth at all costs mantras take down good ideas with 8-9 figure market caps too. If you don't take investment (maybe through debt + bootstrapping) and can deal with the slower growth rate $50M "lifestyle" businesses with full founder ownership isn't something to sneeze at.
- rossdavidh 7y agoThere are definitely cases of a potentially profitable X-size startup being killed by taking 100*X in VC money, and then trying to find some way of justifying that pricetag.