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I think they're referring to him as "patient one". Patient zero (i.e. someone who is or was ill and has recently come back from China) hasn't been found yet.
by Udik 7y ago
I think they're referring to him as "patient one". Patient zero (i.e. someone who is or was ill and has recently come back from China) hasn't been found yet.
- gnulinux 7y agoWhy does it have to be China? Couldn't it be Thailand/Singapore/S.Korea/Japan/Israel/Iran etc?
- kingofpandora 7y agoUdik should have used e.g. rather than i.e.
- Udik 7y agoTrue, that would have been more correct. However, keep in mind that these people who are found ill now in Italy probably have contracted the virus weeks ago, before it started spreading substantially to other countries. Or before we knew it was already spreading anyway.
- gnulinux 7y agoI'm strongly skeptical. Current research suggest mean incubation time is 5 days and stddev is 2 days. That means most cases will be asymptomatic within a week. Clearly, there were cases in the countries I listed above ~10 days ago, except Israel and maybe Iran was still in its infancy. The >20 days incubation time we see in news seems sensational and there is no research to back it up, except one non-peer-review paper published a few weeks ago.
- rimliu 7y agoYou are correct. And to clarify further: I was talking about Lithuanian media, not the Italian one.