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For perspective, numbers from the regular flu this winter: "At least 14,000 people have died and 250,000 have already been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu

by bla3 7y ago

For perspective, numbers from the regular flu this winter: "At least 14,000 people have died and 250,000 have already been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, ..."

rjtavares 7y ago
For further perspective, Coronavirus' death rate is 10 to 40 times that of the regular flu. Of course, this number is an early estimate, but there is no doubt that this virus is much more dangerous than the flu.
coldtea 7y ago
The difference is we know what the flu can do and how bad it usually gets. And it's less lethal -- it's just more cases that's why there are lots more deaths with flu. But that wont necessarily the case if there's a corona pandemic.
- themagician 7y ago
  We don’t though. It varies wildly. 2018-2019 flu season saw 50 million infected and 80,000 deaths in the United States.
JoeAltmaier 7y ago
Yes, and we can expect 10X to 20X that number at risk when this virus spreads.
- 0xff00ffee 7y ago
  Why stop at 10x or 20x? Why not 1,000x? What's the science behind that?
  - theanalyst 7y ago
    0.5% mortality vs 2-3.5% mortality, look the number of recovered cases is still small, so we can't actually count the in progress numbers just yet
  - cm2012 7y ago
    Death rate of .1% for the flu and 1% for Corona.
    - JoeAltmaier 7y ago
      2.5-3.5%? In China anyway.
gnulinux 7y ago
Some worst possible case models predict 15 million people dying from this in the US; making it 1000x worse than flu in the worst case. E.g.: https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/f850n6/a_worst_case_scenario_based_on_what_we_know_sir/ https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/f850n6/a_worst_cas...
guramarx11 7y ago
Are you comparing covid-19 cases against the sum of ALL cases of *regular flu(H_N_ influenza( A B C D) virus)? For perspective, how many country will actually restrict travel or even undergone state wide lock down for an outbreak of regular flu??

by bla3 7y ago

For perspective, numbers from the regular flu this winter: "At least 14,000 people have died and 250,000 have already been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, ..."

rjtavares 7y ago

For further perspective, Coronavirus' death rate is 10 to 40 times that of the regular flu. Of course, this number is an early estimate, but there is no doubt that this virus is much more dangerous than the flu.

coldtea 7y ago

The difference is we know what the flu can do and how bad it usually gets. And it's less lethal -- it's just more cases that's why there are lots more deaths with flu. But that wont necessarily the case if there's a corona pandemic.

themagician 7y ago
We don’t though. It varies wildly. 2018-2019 flu season saw 50 million infected and 80,000 deaths in the United States.

JoeAltmaier 7y ago

Yes, and we can expect 10X to 20X that number at risk when this virus spreads.

0xff00ffee 7y ago
Why stop at 10x or 20x? Why not 1,000x? What's the science behind that?
- theanalyst 7y ago
  0.5% mortality vs 2-3.5% mortality, look the number of recovered cases is still small, so we can't actually count the in progress numbers just yet
- cm2012 7y ago
  Death rate of .1% for the flu and 1% for Corona.
  - JoeAltmaier 7y ago
    2.5-3.5%? In China anyway.

gnulinux 7y ago

Some worst possible case models predict 15 million people dying from this in the US; making it 1000x worse than flu in the worst case. E.g.: https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/f850n6/a_worst_case_scenario_based_on_what_we_know_sir/ https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/f850n6/a_worst_cas...

guramarx11 7y ago

Are you comparing covid-19 cases against the sum of ALL cases of *regular flu(H_N_ influenza( A B C D) virus)? For perspective, how many country will actually restrict travel or even undergone state wide lock down for an outbreak of regular flu??