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Depends on the diversification. If you hold uncorrelated bets, some may actually benefit from a global downturn
by andreilys 7y ago
Depends on the diversification. If you hold uncorrelated bets, some may actually benefit from a global downturn
- ryandrake 7y agoHonest question: what kind of investment, equity or otherwise, would pay out in the event of a global downturn? Besides gold, canned food, and guns/ammo of course. I can imagine some kind of “contra world economy” fund but could you suggest an example?
- smabie 7y agoA bond fund might do okay. Or a distressed debt fund. But in general you wouldn’t want a fund with negative correlation to the market (since it’ll lose money all the time) but instead, one with low or zero correlation to the market. This is the idea of a market neutral fund: have zero market exposure so the return stream is completely uncorrelated.
- andreilys 7y agoA fund that makes money in the event of black swans can do quite well (i.e. 2001, 2008, 2020 (?)) It can lose money for months and/or years, but all it takes is one black swan to make all the money back and more.