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The market can stay irrational longer than one can stay solvent. If you can time the market you can always get rich. The trouble is timing the market.
by godzillabrennus 7y ago
The market can stay irrational longer than one can stay solvent.
If you can time the market you can always get rich. The trouble is timing the market.
- dazc 7y agoThe media are always predicting the next recession so it's just a case of picking the time they are right. Which is about once every ten years, on current form.
- jkhdigital 7y agoThis wisdom was clearly conceived before the advent of widespread, liquid options markets. Purchasing options requires no leverage and thus bears no risk of becoming "insolvent". Of course, trading against stubbornly irrational markets via options can be quite expensive so there is a substantial price to pay for capping one's downside risk.
- odyssey7 7y agoOptions are priced by the same market forces that a speculator attempts to time. You can always lose the price you pay for the options, although you can avoid insolvency by not buying more than you can afford to lose.
- thaumasiotes 7y ago> Purchasing options requires no leverage and thus bears no risk of becoming "insolvent". Of course, trading against stubbornly irrational markets via options can be quite expensive I didn't realize it was impossible to become insolvent just by spending money.