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What makes the increasing-Gini result confusing is ignoring variation. This is done by thinking of the full distribution as if it were its average. In this ca
by NPMaxwell 7y ago
What makes the increasing-Gini result confusing is ignoring variation. This is done by thinking of the full distribution as if it were its average. In this case, the pot is distributed using a pull from a uniform random distribution: The assets of a pair are combined into a pot, and a number, s, from 0 to 1 is drawn. One person gets s of the pot. The other gets 1 - s. On average, s = .5. When s = .5, the Gini coefficient of the pair after the transaction is zero. Their pair of assets are equal. As ABS(s) approaches 1.0, their inequality becomes larger. For example, in Russian Roulette, s is either 0 or 1. With p = the portion of the pot that came from one person, then, when ABS(s - 0.5) > ABS(p - 0.5), the transaction increases inequality. When s is a constant 0.5, every transaction will either reduce inequality or maintain the perfect equality. The system increases inequality in the population until it matches the inequality in the pool from which s is pulled. There's nothing surprising there unless you make a simplifying assumption that s = 0.5, the average of its distribution. Using this simulation to model economic systems comes down to choosing a distribution for s: whatever you choose, that's what you get. UNIFORM(0.49,0.51) will result in lots of equality. UNIFORM(-1,2) will produce some people in debt to others.