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I never said that everyone went back to work, but yes, a large part of the workforce outside of Hubei Province has actually started work again. This is easy to
by zhdc1 7y ago
I never said that everyone went back to work, but yes, a large part of the workforce outside of Hubei Province has actually started work again. This is easy to track - factory emissions outside of the worst hit regions (NO2, for instance, is a good proxy) are starting to recover, and social media activity is very clearly indicating 1.) a large number of furloughed workers are happy that they're now going back to the office and 2.) an even larger number of workers are now doing remote work and telecommuting (and hating it).
I also never said that the impact of the pandemic to manufacturing is irrelevant, only that 1.) provided that factories are starting up again, which many of them are (and we know this, because we can track how much they're emitting) and 2.) the fact that the pandemic hit over the Chinese New year, will mitigate some of the actual impact of the pandemic to the global economy.
Again, all of this assumes that the infection rate in China will continue to slow and that the recent spate of cases outside of China don't escalate to the point where other countries have to implement city-wide quarantines.