3 ms·
> Minor nit, but it seems like poor form to take someone who's arguing against CPI, and then to use CPI-adjusted numbers in a counter-argument. That's fair eno
by dcolkitt 7y ago
> Minor nit, but it seems like poor form to take someone who's arguing against CPI, and then to use CPI-adjusted numbers in a counter-argument.
That's fair enough. But let's use the author's preferred denomination of nominal median household income. From 1985 to 2018 this number rose 21% faster than CPI.[1] Given this it means the median cost per square foot fell by 15% over the period.
> Specifically, housing is 40% fair market rent on a three-bedroom apartment.
Thanks for linking that. That article found a 172% increase in nominal terms for its "typical example" of a 3 bedroom apartment in Raleigh, NC.
In nominal terms, median real household incomes at a national level rose by 196%[1]. Data for Raleigh specifically doesn't go back to 1985. But since 2006, Raleigh incomes have risen 0.5% faster than the national average.[2] Therefore using the author's preferred metric rental housing has actually become 8-19% more affordable.
Finally focusing on rent ignores the fact that 65% of American households are owner-occupied. Over the same period the cost of rent has risen substantially faster than the cost of ownership, not least because mortgage rates fell 12.5% to 4.5%[3]. If you take a weighted average of renters and owners, you'll find housing costs grew at substantially slower rates than simply picking a single metro's rental costs over time.
[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
[2] https://www.deptofnumbers.com/income/north-carolina/raleigh/ https://www.deptofnumbers.com/income/north-carolina/raleigh/
[3] https://www.valuepenguin.com/mortgages/historical-mortgage-rates https://www.valuepenguin.com/mortgages/historical-mortgage-r...