15 ms·
Many cases--perhaps 80-95%--in folks under 50 are hard to distinguish from cold, flu, or gastroenteritis. 2.3% rate is for those who develop more serious sympto
by skmurphy 7y ago
Many cases--perhaps 80-95%--in folks under 50 are hard to distinguish from cold, flu, or gastroenteritis. 2.3% rate is for those who develop more serious symptoms. See http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51 http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9... or https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22372003 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22372003 for a summary table of serious cases.
- koheripbal 7y ago2.3% is still based on official Chinese data, which is likely totally bogus.
- skmurphy 7y agoReal rates are probably more nuanced with many under 50 at very low risk and those above 60 at higher risk. A serious case can present as a viral pneumonia, if there is a break down in health care system and those who need oxygen on a temporary basis cannot get it or if they develop a secondary bacterial infection and antibiotics are not available then mortality will go higher among those cases. I think this year will be remembered by many as "the year my grandfather died of pneumonia."