I think we have some data already on the probability of accidents - I believe I read that a SpaceX rocket failed to land properly after something like 50 succes

I think we have some data already on the probability of accidents - I believe I read that a SpaceX rocket failed to land properly after something like 50 successes...but it was a "soft" landing in the water? NASA lost 2 shuttles out of about 135 flights... So if I was going to make a ballpark estimate without further information, I'd say 98% of the time you should get there safely...and that's better than the coronavirus! People will often tell you how irrational it is that we demand such safety from commercial airlines, so isn't 98% really good enough?