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> like so many very successful and brilliant people Turing was wildly over-confident in his own analysis This is so common, yet most individuals that fall into
by miked85 7y ago
> like so many very successful and brilliant people Turing was wildly over-confident in his own analysis
This is so common, yet most individuals that fall into this trap will never recognize it.
- downerending 7y agoI'd probably be over-confident, too, if I was a key figure in both a major new branch of mathematics and a global war.
- jannotti 7y agoI thought that was a strange takeaway for the article to take. His analysis was correct. He was undone by a factor he didn't even contemplate. His confidence in his "analysis" was spot on. There's definitely a lesson here, but I would not call it over-confidence. If the bank had gone under, would that have been called over-confidence on the part of his friend? At some point, every mistake of any kind whatsoever is called "over-confidence".
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- DonHopkins 7y agoOver-competence at the hiding game. ;(
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]