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Yes, all of them except mainland China. I'm not the slightest bit concerned. No country except mainland China has more than 70 confirmed cases, and deaths worl

Yes, all of them except mainland China. I'm not the slightest bit concerned. No country except mainland China has more than 70 confirmed cases, and deaths worldwide are in the single digits outside of China. These are countries with millions, tens of millions or hundreds of millions of inhabitants. I'm heading to Singapore in a few days, which has the most cases outside of mainland China (likely because they're very good at tracking them) -- 67 out of a population of 5.7 million (0.00001%), and of course all of those people are in quarantine. I imagine some cases haven't been discovered yet, but I have a hard time imagining that changing the order of magnitude. I'd be willing to travel to many parts of mainland China, but it causes problems for traveling to other countries, so I'm unable to for now. I'll alter my travel according to the facts as they change, but for now there's absolutely no rational reason I can see for avoiding travel to any country other than mainland China. Edited to add: numbers are from https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200215-sitrep-26-covid-19.pdf https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situati...

mlyle 7y ago
Probably the main reason to consider travel slightly hazardous is that you'll be in close proximity to other travelers and people who service travelers, which likely represents some risk. What if a group of Chinese nationals traveling to a tour get on your plane / bus / etc, or were the previous people in your seat? You don't have that high of a risk from this scenario, but it is more exposure than you'd get at home.
- _-___________-_ 7y ago
  Most organised outbound tourism from China is canceled right now, though there are of course still independent travelers and probably smaller group travel too. It's also worth noting that the fact that they're Chinese nationals doesn't really move the needle that much on how likely it is that they're infected. About 0.00005% of the mainland China resident population is confirmed to be infected, and the vast majority of those (over 80%) are in Hubei, which given the lockdown makes it very unlikely that you will meet them on an aircraft. Even if you allow for under-reporting the order of magnitude is probably about right. Additionally there are another 50 million Chinese nationals living in other countries, who I would submit are more likely than those resident in China to be traveling right now, and are also far less likely to be infected. This is one reason why the racism seen recently in Australia and UK against Chinese-looking people wearing masks is so ridiculous.

mlyle 7y ago

Probably the main reason to consider travel slightly hazardous is that you'll be in close proximity to other travelers and people who service travelers, which likely represents some risk. What if a group of Chinese nationals traveling to a tour get on your plane / bus / etc, or were the previous people in your seat? You don't have that high of a risk from this scenario, but it is more exposure than you'd get at home.

_-___________-_ 7y ago
Most organised outbound tourism from China is canceled right now, though there are of course still independent travelers and probably smaller group travel too. It's also worth noting that the fact that they're Chinese nationals doesn't really move the needle that much on how likely it is that they're infected. About 0.00005% of the mainland China resident population is confirmed to be infected, and the vast majority of those (over 80%) are in Hubei, which given the lockdown makes it very unlikely that you will meet them on an aircraft. Even if you allow for under-reporting the order of magnitude is probably about right. Additionally there are another 50 million Chinese nationals living in other countries, who I would submit are more likely than those resident in China to be traveling right now, and are also far less likely to be infected. This is one reason why the racism seen recently in Australia and UK against Chinese-looking people wearing masks is so ridiculous.