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This kind of armchair economics is surprisingly popular here, given that HN has a smart community. Sure, the economy is worse right now. But when you say that i
by achompas 16y ago
This kind of armchair economics is surprisingly popular here, given that HN has a smart community. Sure, the economy is worse right now. But when you say that it will hurt "once the pension/money-printing funded tech bubble bursts," well, what does that even mean?
The Federal Reserve is printing money and handing it to VCs? That's not right, banks have very high borrowing requirements and won't just lend money out freely. [0]
Retirees' pensions are going to explode when the bubble pops? Tech stocks only gained 2% last year during a strong year for the S&P 500. [1] Meanwhile, the companies in question are all private, so no pensions should be involved.
You have a nice if-then statement going, but the "if" is the ultimate question here. You can't just assume it away.
[0] http://www.minneapolisfed.org/bb/ http://www.minneapolisfed.org/bb/ (see December and January Beige Books)
[1] http://seekingalpha.com/article/231109-s-p-500-sector-performance-update-and-embedded-expectations http://seekingalpha.com/article/231109-s-p-500-sector-perfor...
- fraserharris 16y agoPension and endowment funds represent some of the largest VC LPs.
- achompas 16y agoSource? Example? I'm curious.
- chailatte 16y agoGoldman Sachs has access to the Federal Reserve's discount window.
- achompas 16y agoBanks do not use the discount window unless they are about to fail. GS stock would tank if they went to the window, as any other bank should provide sufficient liquidity. There is no clear mechanism for Goldman to take money from the Fed and invest it in Facebook. Also, Goldman has used the investment bank version of the window in the past, but they've already repaid all loans. [0] [0] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldman_Sachs#Use_of_Federal_Reserve.27s_Emergency_Liquidity_Programs http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goldman_Sachs#Use_of_Federal_Re...