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I'm curious to see how many people who think we're in a bubble were around for The Bubble in '97-99. From where I'm sitting, this is not even close. Consider:
by damoncali 16y ago
I'm curious to see how many people who think we're in a bubble were around for The Bubble in '97-99. From where I'm sitting, this is not even close. Consider:
There were IPO's like every other day. Often, these companies were less than a year old.
People were driving up the wrong company's stock by 10% in a day because they mixed up the ticker symbols.
Stock swings, usually positive, of 30-50% in a single day were not uncommon.
Companies with no business at all were raising hundreds of millions of dollars in VC.
The number of VC firms was exploding.
AMZN, SUNW, DELL, and the like would go up 3-5% pretty much every day
Day traders with no experience were plowing tens and hundreds of thousands of dollars into the market. There were companies who did nothing but cater to these people. (Not many of either are left).
Kids fresh out of college were being paid $125,000 to write plain HTML and getting pissed off if they didn't get huge raises.
Webvan - look it up.
So, I guess I' not seeing a bubble. Just a few wacky valuations here and there.
- pnathan 16y agoBasically at this point there's just hardly any woo-woo going around about the New Economy Being Beautiful With Money Falling From Trees or other neo-utopian wackiness. I think we might be in the early stages of a tech funding boom, but I just don't think people are that bullish right now. I see a lot of uncertainty going around. People are simply scared of the Great Recession and there're way, way, way too many people thinking about the '01-'02 bust. When that fear starts going away I think a bubble has a chance of beginning. /famous last words
- astrofinch 16y agoWow, I was like 9 during that period. Thanks for telling me what happened!