8 ms·
They're worth effort, but the answer is that the parameters area reasonably well known. Suicide isn't increasing exponentially, for example.
by downerending 7y ago
They're worth effort, but the answer is that the parameters area reasonably well known. Suicide isn't increasing exponentially, for example.
- lawlorino 7y agoExactly this. The expected annual deaths from suicide are normally distributed whereas a highly contagious disease is long-tailed, i.e. a non-negligible probability of a huge number of fatalities.