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The extreme steps taken by the Chinese government (which can be assumed to have the most accurate -classified - data), belies that belief. You don't shut down s
by dsq 7y ago
The extreme steps taken by the Chinese government (which can be assumed to have the most accurate -classified - data), belies that belief. You don't shut down so much of your country over a somewhat more severe case of flu.
- not_a_moth 7y agoTwo possibilities, a) a faster spreading version of flu, which produces a greater overall quantity of severe cases, could be mistaken for a more virulent flu... which is what I believe most reports are doing now b) the unprecedented lock down is because of the origins of the virus
- ericb 7y agoAnother possibility: the subsequent ARDS is catastrophic in smokers. In China, 41% of people smoke.
- cybertronic 7y agoGood point. Is there a statistics about mortality in smokers vs non-smokers?
- ericb 7y agoThis is what I've seen so far: https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202002.0051/v1 https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202002.0051/v1 There are also other hints that line up with this. The mortality rate in the recent 1000+ case study seems to be much higher in males, but the rate of smoking in China is also much higher in males, which could be a clue. https://jech.bmj.com/content/71/2/154 https://jech.bmj.com/content/71/2/154