4 ms·

I would look at those numbers again. It seems to be the percentage of all deaths. Based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance

I would look at those numbers again. It seems to be the percentage of all deaths. Based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance data available on February 6, 2020, 7.1% of the deaths occurring during the week ending January 25, 2020 (week 4) were due to P&I. This percentage is below the epidemic threshold of 7.2% for week 4. If you like, every year the flu is a low-level "pandemic" of a relative sort. It goes almost unnoticed like antibiotic/antimycotic-resistant pathogens that are rapidly becoming untreatable due to a combination of factors including over-prescription, meat agriculture, human over-population and low-cost travel. Oddly enough, I used to work at a biomedical informatics department where one of the projects used commercial data from retail stores to predict and identify bioweapon exposure and pandemics from people buying OTC remedies and prescriptions.

themagician 7y ago
That seems pretty bad, no? I don’t know how to interpret this that’s why I’m asking. It seems like the media is captivated by what seems like a relatively small number of deaths in China compared to the 12,000+ here at home. A Chinese supplier of mine actually pointed this out when he told me to “stay safe” and I was like what the hell is he talking about, but then I googled it and now I’m like wtf.
- endogui 7y ago
  In late January, Chinese media widely reported "news" about an American flu "epidemic" to distract from nCoV. However, the US CDC reports pneumonia and influenza deaths as a percent of overall mortality on a weekly basis, and right now the numbers are shy of what they consider an epidemic. The rate of lab confirmed cases is tracking 2012-2013, and mortality looks about the same as last year. The current nCoV outbreak is more worrying because the percentage of patients needing intensive care is very high, and because it looks very easy to spread.

themagician 7y ago

That seems pretty bad, no? I don’t know how to interpret this that’s why I’m asking. It seems like the media is captivated by what seems like a relatively small number of deaths in China compared to the 12,000+ here at home. A Chinese supplier of mine actually pointed this out when he told me to “stay safe” and I was like what the hell is he talking about, but then I googled it and now I’m like wtf.

endogui 7y ago
In late January, Chinese media widely reported "news" about an American flu "epidemic" to distract from nCoV. However, the US CDC reports pneumonia and influenza deaths as a percent of overall mortality on a weekly basis, and right now the numbers are shy of what they consider an epidemic. The rate of lab confirmed cases is tracking 2012-2013, and mortality looks about the same as last year. The current nCoV outbreak is more worrying because the percentage of patients needing intensive care is very high, and because it looks very easy to spread.