Or what kills people is the health care system being overwhelmed, lack of respirator, supplies, monitors, care. Which is in fact the biggest risk and why closin

Or what kills people is the health care system being overwhelmed, lack of respirator, supplies, monitors, care. Which is in fact the biggest risk and why closing Wuhan was probably the right move... at a huge cost to the people there - it delays and staggers new infections and allows time to shore up resources. I content that there is probably no healthcare system on the planet that could handle a sudden emergence of a new virus with R0 2-4 and weak initial symptoms meeting a population with zero preexisting immunity out of nowhere. A bad flu or dengue season regularly puts beds into hospital corridors in many countries, even very advanced ones like Singapore. In fact, this year's flu season was vicious and is still ongoing. So capacity, which is an almost static constant from many individual factors (people+consumables+space+tools)hard to scale (few countries can create new hospitals in 10 days) to keep serious cases alive become saturated at which point many additional critical cases become casualties. There is probably delays and even some lies in the numbers, but a vastly increased casualty rate in a city out of treatment capacity is entirely believable of the rest of the country is not in a crunch (other provinces do not seem to have overwhelmed hospitals yet - the great firewall is not nearly sealed enough to hide such things)