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> Death rate in Hubei province is 780/27100 = 2.88% > Death rate in all the other provinces combined is 32/10127 = 0.32% Please remember that the number of peo
by whycombagator 7y ago
> Death rate in Hubei province is 780/27100 = 2.88%
> Death rate in all the other provinces combined is 32/10127 = 0.32%
Please remember that the number of people to the right in your formula are not all recovered. They could still die. So the chances of dying from the virus _could_ be higher than the %s you have calculated.
> So the death rate in Hubei is 9 times of other provinces. Is this really possible?
The numbers suggest as much.
While I share your skepticism of the Chinese reported numbers - remember that the Hubei province is the epicenter and is currently locked down. It is resource strained. So I expect the rate of death there to be higher than elsewhere.
I also expect the Zhejiang numbers to trend in the other direction, as they have just announced it will be locked down too.
- datashow 7y agoI agree that Hubei province is the epicenter so we would expect higher death rate. But don't know whether 9 times high is reasonable. Also, the same reasoning would conclude that China's death count in SARS in definitely fake.