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It's widely reported that the confirmed case count published by China is far below the actual case count. This is due to several factors, including: * A high p
by tristanj 7y ago
It's widely reported that the confirmed case count published by China is far below the actual case count. This is due to several factors, including:
* A high percentage of asymptomatic carriers (WHO est. 82%), who have mild symptoms and no need to go to the hospital. These victims are still able to transmit the virus to others.
* Reporting the cause of death for suspected but not confirmed cases as "viral pneumonia". Doing so does not increase the coronavirus case count. https://www.wsj.com/articles/an-american-citizen-diagnosed-with-coronavirus-has-died-in-china-11581141185 https://www.wsj.com/articles/an-american-citizen-diagnosed-w...
* A lack of supply of testing kits. https://www.businessinsider.com/wuhan-coronavirus-china-shortage-test-kits-lottery-2020-1 https://www.businessinsider.com/wuhan-coronavirus-china-shor...
* Turning away and not testing suspected patients due to lack of hospital beds. https://www.wsj.com/articles/united-american-airlines-suspend-hong-kong-service-as-coronavirus-saps-demand-11580897463 https://www.wsj.com/articles/united-american-airlines-suspen...
* A high false-negative rate on testing kits, estimated as high as 30-50%. https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-02-08/key-diagnostic-test-might-be-missing-many-coronavirus-cases-101513176.html https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-02-08/key-diagnostic-test-...
Read that China and WHO are not "wrong" about the reported case numbers. They do not reflect how widespread the virus is. I've read reports that the true case count is 5-10x higher.