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If you look at the graphs here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ And know that in 3 weeks everyone either
by bullen 7y ago
If you look at the graphs here:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
And know that in 3 weeks everyone either dies or has recovered.
Doesn't that mean we will see a large amount of total deaths in a couple of weeks?
Those graphs are both exponential!
Remember that cases are subjectively selected, while deaths have a fixed statistical variance!
- hef19898 7y agoThe WHO is regularly publishing situation reports with all kinds of data in there. Maybe you go and have a look those?
- bredren 7y agoThose graphs depict Total Cases and Total Deaths. (This presentation of data is sometimes used by startups trying to show their amazing growth off to potential investors.) If you look at the daily change in amounts of deaths from this data series, it is more of a wobbly straight line: https://i.imgur.com/gQajRT9.png https://i.imgur.com/gQajRT9.png I did a linear projection of this data series to see how long it would take for a 1000 a day to be perishing if this trend and I came up with 8/8. Can anyone else replicate this? I would hope containment would slow these numbers, but it is possible it could go another way. If the data itself is underreported then it could also be worse.
- bullen 7y agoAh, ok... thx! I guess the number of serious condition jumping from 5000 to 6000 since last I looked yesterday or the day before was what startled me...