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Given the drop off of the infection rate growth relative to its spread earlier it appears that the quarantine measures put in place by China are having some suc

Given the drop off of the infection rate growth relative to its spread earlier it appears that the quarantine measures put in place by China are having some success.

shakna 7y ago
> Given the drop off of the infection rate growth relative to its spread earlier it appears that the quarantine measures put in place by China are having some success. That drop-off rate might also be explained by the information suppression campaign that occurred during the early days of the virus. The origin point might simply be earlier than is acknowledged.
turk73 7y ago
I don't believe that. There was a guy who made a Youtube video showing the hundreds and hundreds of daily flights coming and going from China even weeks after the outbreak. He said "there's no quarantine if you have money." What I am wondering is why no significant outbreak in Indonesia? Philippines? Southeast Asia? India? If it is a pandemic, those countries will be hit hard. I would also expect Rio, Mexico City, to see huge increases in cases before Europe and the US. So far that has not happened.
- ValentineC 7y ago
  > What I am wondering is why no significant outbreak in Indonesia? Philippines? Southeast Asia? India? Those countries might be reporting the cases as influenza or pneumonia, and not the coronavirus.
sjcsjc 7y ago
https://youtu.be/ALQTdCYGISw https://youtu.be/ALQTdCYGISw Neil Ferguson of Imperial College estimates the current rate of new infections per day in China is 50,000.
shock-value 7y ago
This assumes that neither testing bottlenecking nor information suppression is a factor with respect to reported numbers, which is far from certain.
- kingkawn 7y ago
  I am not arguing that information isn’t being suppressed, but they’ve essentially closed all public activity in China. There has to be an impact from this beyond just censorship

Given the drop off of the infection rate growth relative to its spread earlier it appears that the quarantine measures put in place by China are having some success.

shakna 7y ago

> Given the drop off of the infection rate growth relative to its spread earlier it appears that the quarantine measures put in place by China are having some success. That drop-off rate might also be explained by the information suppression campaign that occurred during the early days of the virus. The origin point might simply be earlier than is acknowledged.

turk73 7y ago

I don't believe that. There was a guy who made a Youtube video showing the hundreds and hundreds of daily flights coming and going from China even weeks after the outbreak. He said "there's no quarantine if you have money." What I am wondering is why no significant outbreak in Indonesia? Philippines? Southeast Asia? India? If it is a pandemic, those countries will be hit hard. I would also expect Rio, Mexico City, to see huge increases in cases before Europe and the US. So far that has not happened.

ValentineC 7y ago
> What I am wondering is why no significant outbreak in Indonesia? Philippines? Southeast Asia? India? Those countries might be reporting the cases as influenza or pneumonia, and not the coronavirus.

sjcsjc 7y ago

https://youtu.be/ALQTdCYGISw https://youtu.be/ALQTdCYGISw Neil Ferguson of Imperial College estimates the current rate of new infections per day in China is 50,000.

shock-value 7y ago

This assumes that neither testing bottlenecking nor information suppression is a factor with respect to reported numbers, which is far from certain.

kingkawn 7y ago
I am not arguing that information isn’t being suppressed, but they’ve essentially closed all public activity in China. There has to be an impact from this beyond just censorship