3 ms·
Many under 60 exhibit mild symptoms. Surveillance in Thailand and Malaysia may not be catching many of the infected.
by skmurphy 7y ago
Many under 60 exhibit mild symptoms. Surveillance in Thailand and Malaysia may not be catching many of the infected.
- ekianjo 7y agoNo hospital has been overrun by patients outside of China yet despite high awareness of symptoms.
- skmurphy 7y agoGood point. I hope that continues to be true.
- cycrutchfield 7y agoYet.
- ekianjo 7y agoSeveral weeks already. How long does this super highly infectious disease take to spread outside of China? You have to wonder the claims made on transmission at this stage.
- oxymoran 7y agoThe disease takes about 2-3 weeks to run its course through each patient. It’s slow burning and mildly yet unpredictably lethal. That sounds innocuous but it is a recipe for disaster.
- ekianjo 7y agoTransmission seems clearly far less bad than initially thought. If it were exponential we should be at millions infected right now.
- cycrutchfield 7y agoChina only has capacity to test a few thousand patients per day...
- skmurphy 7y agoFrom "Coronavirus outbreak 'just beginning' outside China, says expert" (Feb 12 2020) https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-singapore-interview-idUSKBN2061KK https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-singapore-in... The Chinese government’s senior medical adviser has said the disease is hitting a peak in China and may be over by April. He said he was basing the forecast on mathematical modelling, recent events and government action. Dale Fisher, chair of the Global Outbreak Alert & Response Network that is coordinated by the World Health Organization, said that predicted “time course” may well be true if the virus is allowed to run free in Wuhan. The flu-like virus has killed more than 1,100 people and infected nearly 45,000, predominantly in China and mostly in Wuhan. Singapore has reported 50 coronavirus cases, one of the highest tallies outside China, including mounting evidence of local transmission. [...] Asked why there were so many cases in Singapore, he said there were comparatively more tests being conducted on the island. “We have a very low index of suspicion for testing people so...we do have higher ascertainment,” he said, but added that there was a lot about transmission of the virus yet to be understood.
- samstave 7y agoSome of the "repatriates" flown to Travis AFB in California, near SF, have been admitted to the hospital now, showing symptoms... This is being reported in local news as of this evening.