3 ms·
Some say the mortality rate is 10-20% because the 1-2% numbers being passed around are comparing current deaths against current population who have the disease.
by one2know 7y ago
Some say the mortality rate is 10-20% because the 1-2% numbers being passed around are comparing current deaths against current population who have the disease. Current deaths should be compared to the population that had the disease at the time they contracted it which was 1-2 weeks ago. The epidemic began only two weeks ago.
https://qz.com/1798887/china-coronavirus-fatality-rate-is-too-early-to-tell/ https://qz.com/1798887/china-coronavirus-fatality-rate-is-to...
- lainga 7y agoHow useful is comparing deaths to confirmed recoveries?
- kragen 7y agoWhile the epidemic is still in an exponential growth phase, not very useful, because death and recovery may not take the same average time from initial symptoms. Even a small difference in time will result in a huge bias in the death/recovery ratio, which right now is about 1:3, using the official statistics.