She's not wrong, but I suspect that most of this is conventional wisdom among political insiders. They will publicly dissemble of course, but everyone knows th

She's not wrong, but I suspect that most of this is conventional wisdom among political insiders. They will publicly dissemble of course, but everyone knows that the party out of power generally gains seats in an off-year election. Etc. That said, people do change parties. It would be interesting to have a deep study of the reasons why. (I have my theories...)