3 ms·
Mostly it's a question about cost, really. Arguably, we should rule out solar radiation management - in the models you get the weirdest side effects, for examp
by kaybe 7y ago
Mostly it's a question about cost, really.
Arguably, we should rule out solar radiation management - in the models you get the weirdest side effects, for example if you ramp up amount of stratospheric sulfur aerosol to the maximum effect (which doesn't even cover all of the warming we have already committed to btw), the jetstream collapses. Do you want to be the one to run that test for real? Also, they only combat a part of the problem, eg sea acidification is untouched. (Still, there is coffee talk about a sulfur test from the US soon.. the person they have in mind doesn't seem too stoked though. Not sure what the state is.)
Carbon sequestration appears feasible. Options include increased biomass (limited effect and needs protection forever), direct removal (how to store safely and longterm?) and enhanced weathering. All of those cost more per ton of carbon in both energy and price compared to not burning fossil fuels. Techniques don't really exist yet to be deployed at scale either, plus the energy needs to come from somewhere.
However, if you have a look at the 1.5°C IPCC report, all the pathways given there assume some kind of carbon capture. The most optimistic one just needs trees, the business-as-usual one needs a massive effort of capturing about half of our yearly emissions starting in 10 years. (!) [0]
[0] https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/SPM3b.png https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/SPM3...
edit: By the way, we have enough fossil fuels in the ground to reach 5000 ppm of CO2. At 1000 ppm humans already have measurable cognitive decline.
- hcknwscommenter 7y agoI think the human mind has difficulty understanding the scale of the problem. Carbon capture cannot work. A ton of coal releases way more than its weight in CO2 when combusted. Same (but a little better at the margin) for oil and Nat Gas. https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2018-carbon-emissions-methodology.pdf https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/c... We are talking about GIGATONS a year of CO2 that needs to be captured and put somewhere. For every mountain top that is removed, we would have to figure out where to put three more mountains. Not going to happen.