I agree. I'm instantly skeptical of any "X has never occurred" claim: Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Let's see some Taleb-esque "skin in the g

I agree. I'm instantly skeptical of any "X has never occurred" claim: Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Let's see some Taleb-esque "skin in the game": Not just the author's toothless footnote, but a cash bounty.