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The biggest concern is health care capacities being overwhelmed. He died in a place under severe resource constraints, basically a warzone. Fatality inside Wuha
by hatenberg 7y ago
The biggest concern is health care capacities being overwhelmed. He died in a place under severe resource constraints, basically a warzone. Fatality inside Wuhan is 5%, the rest of china 0.17% and even lower outside the country. Regardless of how correct the numbers are at this point - available ICU capacity is probably the largest factor for fatality rates for the disease at this point.
Just like the flu, this virus causes number of very serious cases that require intensive care but care capacities in most countries are barely able to cope with a bad flu season before bed appear on hallways - and this year had a particularly bad flu season still ongoing. There are only so many ventilators and artificial lungs available in hospitals and there is limited capacity in the world to deal with a new, highly infectious pathogen hitting a population without any preexisting immunities and people requiring weeks care to recover and become non infectious
China has, for better or worse, sacrificed Wuhan to buy the rest of the country and the world time to shore up capacities and enact procedures to stagger the load that will hit healthcare systems if the virus becomes broadly entrenched. I don't think there is any healthcare system on the planet that won't severely strain if hit by the sudden load of a new, highly infectious virus with long, invisible incubation period.
- DarthGhandi 7y ago> buy the rest of the country and the world time to shore up capacities The vaccine and blood product manufacturer CSL had a Zika virus vaccine ready to roll within a few months after the outbreak, done of their own accord, it was an impressive achievement.
- animal531 7y agoI agree with your assessment. If the virus makes it in scale to populous countries or regions with poor infrastructure; for example India, Africa or Southern America then those places are going to really struggle to cope.
- richard78459 7y ago> China has, for better or worse, sacrificed Wuhan to buy the rest of the country and the world The point is centralized authority is worse. In a democratic country he would have had warned quicker and his life sacrifice would have made more meaningful.
- hatenberg 7y agoWell it's a good thing then we have a president who is held to account by the people's representatives and firmly rejects autocratic tendencies.