Yo, the mortality rate is first) not calculable in any kind of real way right now (go check out what they thought the rate for SARS was a month into that battle

Yo, the mortality rate is first) not calculable in any kind of real way right now (go check out what they thought the rate for SARS was a month into that battle) and second) not at all what the real is here. The first to fall ill will have five doctors in plastic suits surrounding them, fancy beeping machines, low light. When they fully recover in a few days, media celebrations will be high-gloss and cheerful. Then as the exponential growth bowls over the healthcare system like a meteor smashing into ten little pins, deaths from all causes will skyrocket. This is what we’re seeing in wuhan. Certainly, the numbers don’t add up much (509 dead total as of today? Drop in an ocean for China, why the freak out?) But of the 25k confirmed cases check out the share that are in critical condition. Those folks need ventilators and staff and food and beds and all sorts of stuff. I’m not sure where I read it, some kind of military or intelligence book, but the idea was that by the time your healthcare system needs to help about 3% of the population it serves at once, it totally collapses. It doesn’t just GET SLOWER (but it does that), but it just collapses, and huge numbers of avoidable deaths pile up real quick. That nasty knife wound from dinner really should get stitches but you know it’s hopeless so you do your best with a bandaid and risk infection. A car accident that would otherwise be a shock and a shake up and a day at the hospital getting your leg encased and your head checked out turns into a fatality. Not great.