3 ms·

Most of your comment is flat-out false. That page shows current instantaneous sea level change; it doesn't show future predictions (except in, say, the paper li

Most of your comment is flat-out false. That page shows current instantaneous sea level change; it doesn't show future predictions (except in, say, the paper linked at the bottom about predicted sea level change). Sea level rise is increasing each year and is projected to continue increasing faster each year, the rate dependent on how much CO2 we keep putting into the environment. 2m in sea level rise is roughly the current "intermediate" scenario, which would happen if the world made immediate and large reductions in CO2 emissions. That is, we're on track to be worse than that now. Since I've seen this exact error on HN before (don't recall if it was you who made it or not): do you understand that giving the 2018 sea level rate change as "1.34 feet per 100 years" is NOT a prediction that the sea level will change 1.34 feet over the next hundred years?

ash 7y ago
> 2m in sea level rise is roughly the current "intermediate" scenario What is the basis for 2 m prediction? > giving the 2018 sea level rate change as "1.34 feet per 100 years" is NOT a prediction that the sea level will change 1.34 feet over the next hundred years? Global 0.3 m rise is among the possible scenarios.¹ And this scenario is consistent with historical measurements. Also note that CO2 level has been rising for the last 60 years. Sea level trend stayed the same compared to the period before industrial CO2 rise. ¹ https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Global_and_Regional_SLR_Scenarios_for_the_US_final.pdf https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Glo...