4 ms·

I was thinking of the same data, I guess it's not quite as clear as I thought, but the majority are overestimating the warming: https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-c

• SiempreViernes 7y ago
  If the idea is that the error in estimation is random around 0, you would expect about half to be overestimating. I think 5 out of 8 is not a very strong difference from 4 out of 8, which is the comparison that makes sense in this context.