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Uncertainty and exponential growth. China went from <300 confirmed cases to 17k in two weeks. The actual number is probably 3-5x bigger as only a % of total ca
by thesausageking 7y ago
Uncertainty and exponential growth.
China went from <300 confirmed cases to 17k in two weeks. The actual number is probably 3-5x bigger as only a % of total cases are confirmed. And that's in spite of China taking very hardline measures including a travel ban affecting 50m people. Countries like the US probably can't take those kinds of strict measures.
The world is so interconnected now that once a virus like this gets a small foothold, it's very, very hard to contain. And it's unlikely there were be any vaccine for it for at least 12-18 months.
That means there's a good chance this turns into a world-wide epidemic that will kill millions or more over the next year. Even with it's relatively low death rate (1-2%), if it ends up infecting 100s of millions of people, that's millions dead.