4 ms·
Given what appears to be exponential growth, the calculation seems to ignore potential future deaths in the currently known cases. Pardon the morbidity and cyni
by norrius 7y ago
Given what appears to be exponential growth, the calculation seems to ignore potential future deaths in the currently known cases. Pardon the morbidity and cynicism, but maybe some of these 14628 people haven't had the time to die yet?
Wouldn't it be more appropriate to compare deaths (305) to the number of people successfully recovered (348 as per the same page)? This gives the survivability rate of 53%, which does sound scary (and I'd love to be proven wrong here).
- jmnicolas 7y agoI'm pretty sure you die faster than you can recover from this thing. So we should see a better deaths / recoveries ratio in the coming weeks.
- koheripbal 7y agoYou are assuming that the data quality here isn't complete garbage.
- learc83 7y agoIn addition to recovery taking much longer, there are likely far more than 15k people who have been infected but haven't been to the hospital since the majority of cases aren't serious.