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New data, based on "all confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital from Jan 1 to Jan 20, 2020": 11% "died of multiple organ failure" and 23% are i

New data, based on "all confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital from Jan 1 to Jan 20, 2020": 11% "died of multiple organ failure" and 23% are in intensive care unit https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30211-7/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...

peteretep 7y ago
Interesting, however: > Most patients were men, with a mean age of 55·5 years (SD 13·1; table 1). 50 (51%) patients had chronic diseases, including cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, endocrine system disease [and some others] The findings conclude: > In general, the characteristics of patients who died were in line with the early warning model for predicting mortality in viral pneumonia Also the group was self-selecting of people who went to hospital before Jan 20th. In summary: old men with pre-existing health conditions are going to have a rough ride. Am yet to see this play out in 2020 Presidential Election odds though.
- bra4you 7y ago
  >50 years is not old. I don't know what is considered old but I know that >75y has a two magnitudes higher mortality rate with the flu. I doubt that the 50 years old Hospital doctor who died had any serious per-existing health condition. In fact, you could argue hat most doctors have a stronger immune system than average since they are exposed to more germs due to their profession. So this 50y old professional dropping dead is a bad sign! (and hands off to him for his bravery in doing his job). You could only argue that he cough the strain very early. A virus jumping into a new species is more aggressive at the beginning, later it adopts more to the new host and becomes less aggressive.
  - smileybarry 7y ago
    "Old" might be the wrong word, but the gist of it is that, like the flu, it's potentially worse around the 50-60+ age group.
  - ddeck 7y ago
    >I doubt that the 50 years old Hospital doctor who died had any serious per-existing health condition. If you are referring to the doctor in Wuhan - Liang Wudong - he was 62-years old.

peteretep 7y ago

Interesting, however: > Most patients were men, with a mean age of 55·5 years (SD 13·1; table 1). 50 (51%) patients had chronic diseases, including cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, endocrine system disease [and some others] The findings conclude: > In general, the characteristics of patients who died were in line with the early warning model for predicting mortality in viral pneumonia Also the group was self-selecting of people who went to hospital before Jan 20th. In summary: old men with pre-existing health conditions are going to have a rough ride. Am yet to see this play out in 2020 Presidential Election odds though.

bra4you 7y ago
>50 years is not old. I don't know what is considered old but I know that >75y has a two magnitudes higher mortality rate with the flu. I doubt that the 50 years old Hospital doctor who died had any serious per-existing health condition. In fact, you could argue hat most doctors have a stronger immune system than average since they are exposed to more germs due to their profession. So this 50y old professional dropping dead is a bad sign! (and hands off to him for his bravery in doing his job). You could only argue that he cough the strain very early. A virus jumping into a new species is more aggressive at the beginning, later it adopts more to the new host and becomes less aggressive.
- smileybarry 7y ago
  "Old" might be the wrong word, but the gist of it is that, like the flu, it's potentially worse around the 50-60+ age group.
- ddeck 7y ago
  >I doubt that the 50 years old Hospital doctor who died had any serious per-existing health condition. If you are referring to the doctor in Wuhan - Liang Wudong - he was 62-years old.