Too many unknowns to say. We don’t know: - how many infected but not confirmed. They could be asymptotic or mild enough not to seek medical treatment. This wou

Too many unknowns to say. We don’t know: - how many infected but not confirmed. They could be asymptotic or mild enough not to seek medical treatment. This would increase the denominator. - time between infection to first symptom to death. Therefore we don’t know which way the remaining confirmed cases will go. Probably increase the numerator over time but don’t know by how much. - unclear how accurate the reported numbers are.