4 ms·
Extend the model out just a bit farther and you discover the true threat of coronavirus that we need to be worried about is when the infected and dead are suffi
by jerf 7y ago
Extend the model out just a bit farther and you discover the true threat of coronavirus that we need to be worried about is when the infected and dead are sufficiently numerous that we need to start worrying about their Schwarzchild radius. Truly... dark times.
- dredmorbius 7y agoThere's a reason all growth curves tend to sigmoid (for instances / total births or cases w/ time), and steady-state, cyclic, or boom-bust. And ultimately, of course, extinction. OTOH, 2019-nCoV might be the answer to self-sustaining fusion we've been looking for.
- perl4ever 7y agoI like to put upper bounds on the worst case, so I checked out the Wikipedia page on the 1918 flu, and it appears that this virus is only about 1/5th as lethal, and lacking a world war, shouldn't spread as easily.
- djmips 7y agoNo world war however we now have airlines and modern travel.