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And cited sources for their data. And had error bars on the prediction. And gave you access to historical predictions.
by repiret 7y ago
And cited sources for their data.
And had error bars on the prediction.
And gave you access to historical predictions.
- yorwba 7y agoIf you just want the historical data, try https://news.sina.cn/zt_d/yiqing0121 https://news.sina.cn/zt_d/yiqing0121 Of course the labels and data sources are all in Chinese...
- mlyle 7y agoHistorical case counts don't really have error bars... and it's difficult to come up with meaningful error bars based on goodness of fit of a function.
- repiret 7y agoBut the graph is also looking three days into the future, presumably based on fitting some model to the historical data. The output of any worthwhile model is a probability distribution over possible future infection and death counts. As a consumer of that graph, I should be able to see not just the value just a model thinks is most likely, but at least some indication of how tight a bound the model is placing on those values.
- sramsay 7y agoThe lack of which suggests that the author (and who is that, exactly?) may not have given a moment's thought to any kind of responsibility they might have in the midst of a health crisis. Oh, what the hell. Let's write some Javascript! And slap a tweet button on it!