Your argument seems to take the general form of "non-expert does not understand specialty field, doubts veracity of experts in field". It's understandable that

Your argument seems to take the general form of "non-expert does not understand specialty field, doubts veracity of experts in field". It's understandable that some might be skeptical of any argument of this form, as they are all essentially arguments from incomprehension and incredulity. The specialty here isn't software, really. It's intelligence. That's a very different field and knowing something generally about how computers work might not translate into as much relevant expertise as one could hope for. I know my expertise in software security doesn't equip me to do this kind of intelligence analysis. IMO, that doesn't leave me with a lot of standing to comment substantively on many - even most - aspects of such analysis.